Mean Reversion Trade Scorer

01 Fair value reference is defined You marked "normal" price before entering — session open, VWAP, or the prior balance zone. You know exactly where price should revert TO 02 Price is statistically overextended Price ran far from fair value — beyond a band, 2+ ATR, or a clear stretch. A small wobble is not a reversion setup 03 The stretch was an emotional spike Driven by a news burst or the open — exhaustion, not the start of a fresh sustained trend. Fading real trend initiation is how reversion traders die 04 A reversal signal has triggered Momentum stalled — a structure shift back, a displacement candle, or a clear loss of drive. You react to the turn, you don't predict it 05 Fixed risk & fixed target are set Same stop, same target (fair value), same risk as every other trade. No widening the stop, no moving the target, no improvising 06 The edge is proven positive You have a sample (backtest or log) showing this exact setup has positive expectancy. Without it, repeating the trade just compounds a loss faster