MARKET REGIME
US Equity · NASDAQ Sectors · Updated 2026-10-22
⚖ Mixed
Growth vs Defensive spread
⚡ Risk-ON
⚖ Mixed
🛡 Risk-OFF
SECTOR ROTATION — YTD 2026
⚡
XLE
Energy
+52.3%
💻
XLK
Technology
+31.1%
🏥
XLV
Healthcare
+16.5%
🛒
XLP
Cons. Staples
+14.3%
⚗️
XLB
Materials
+12.7%
🏭
XLI
Industrials
+7.4%
🏢
XLRE
Real Estate
+6.6%
🏦
XLF
Financials
+3.3%
💡
XLU
Utilities
-0.7%
🛍
XLY
Cons. Discretionary
-1.8%
📡
XLC
Comm. Services
-5.9%
GROWTH: XLK XLI XLY XLC XLF
DEFENSIVE: XLP XLU XLV XLRE
MACRO ENVIRONMENT
10Y Yield
5.12%
2Y Yield
4.79%
2Y–10Y Spread
-0.33%
Fed Funds Rate
3.75%
Fear Signal
XLP↔XLK -0.405 Defensives hiding
AI REGIME READ
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Generating regime analysis…
SECTOR CORRELATION MATRIX — YTD 2026
| XLB | XLU | XLV | XLF | XLE | XLK | XLC | XLI | XLP | XLRE | XLY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLB | 1.00 | 0.31 | 0.34 | 0.37 | -0.08 | 0.29 | 0.26 | 0.63 | 0.32 | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| XLU | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.06 | 0.05 | -0.09 | -0.02 | 0.32 | 0.37 | 0.58 | 0.07 |
| XLV | 0.34 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.33 | -0.11 | -0.17 | 0.26 | 0.21 | 0.49 | 0.46 | 0.27 |
| XLF | 0.37 | 0.06 | 0.33 | 1.00 | -0.14 | 0.17 | 0.47 | 0.45 | 0.12 | 0.41 | 0.50 |
| XLE | -0.08 | 0.05 | -0.11 | -0.14 | 1.00 | -0.27 | -0.23 | -0.23 | 0.10 | -0.07 | -0.36 |
| XLK | 0.29 | -0.09 | -0.17 | 0.17 | -0.27 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.52 | -0.40 | -0.08 | 0.45 |
| XLC | 0.26 | -0.02 | 0.26 | 0.47 | -0.23 | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.35 | 0.63 |
| XLI | 0.63 | 0.32 | 0.21 | 0.45 | -0.23 | 0.52 | 0.22 | 1.00 | 0.08 | 0.38 | 0.49 |
| XLP | 0.32 | 0.37 | 0.49 | 0.12 | 0.10 | -0.40 | 0.23 | 0.08 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.18 |
| XLRE | 0.43 | 0.58 | 0.46 | 0.41 | -0.07 | -0.08 | 0.35 | 0.38 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| XLY | 0.47 | 0.07 | 0.27 | 0.50 | -0.36 | 0.45 | 0.63 | 0.49 | 0.18 | 0.33 | 1.00 |
Best diversifier: XLE (avg corr 0.165)
Tightest pair: XLI (0.635)